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2022-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.5% 73.5% -
Margin 15.0% 85.0% +9.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -
Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% -
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% -
Points Off/Def 32.4% 67.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +9 (107-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 37 0-8 0-3 4-4 3 1 2 0 4 - -
Trae Young * 37 12-25 2-7 5-6 2 6 0 0 31 - -
Danilo Gallinari * 35 4-9 1-4 3-4 8 1 0 1 12 - -
Kevin Huerter * 30 4-13 1-5 0-0 5 3 2 2 9 - -
Clint Capela * 29 2-4 0-0 1-4 11 0 1 0 5 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 36 10-16 3-9 2-2 4 3 1 0 25 - -
Delon Wright 18 1-4 0-2 3-3 3 1 2 1 5 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 7 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Gorgui Dieng 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 39 12-25 3-10 6-7 8 7 0 0 33 - -
Marcus Smart * 37 6-14 2-6 2-2 6 4 1 1 16 - -
Robert Williams III * 35 3-3 0-0 3-3 13 2 1 2 9 - -
Al Horford * 34 3-7 2-4 0-0 4 3 0 4 8 - -
Jaylen Brown * 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Derrick White 27 7-13 1-5 3-3 2 5 0 0 18 - -
Grant Williams 27 6-11 2-4 4-4 7 1 0 1 18 - -
Payton Pritchard 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 - -
Aaron Nesmith 16 0-5 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 - -

* = starter