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2022-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 86.0% 14.0% -
Bradley-Terry 56.7% 43.3% -
Margin 65.0% 35.0% -3.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 31.9% 68.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.9% 65.1% -
Log Adjusted 34.8% 65.2% -
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +3 (116-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 35 9-17 3-5 5-5 3 4 1 1 26 - -
Cade Cunningham * 31 9-18 0-3 2-3 9 5 1 0 20 - -
Saddiq Bey * 30 7-14 2-5 3-3 7 2 1 0 19 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 27 3-9 0-0 3-4 9 1 1 1 9 - -
Cory Joseph * 15 3-3 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Killian Hayes 26 2-6 0-2 3-4 7 5 3 1 7 - -
Kelly Olynyk 20 4-5 1-2 1-1 4 3 0 0 10 - -
Hamidou Diallo 19 3-8 0-3 0-1 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Frank Jackson 14 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -
Isaiah Livers 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Rodney McGruder 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Kispert * 36 4-11 3-8 0-1 4 5 1 1 11 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 34 7-15 1-5 6-6 9 6 0 2 21 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 31 5-12 3-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 15 - -
Raul Neto * 23 4-7 1-1 4-5 4 3 1 0 13 - -
Daniel Gafford * 20 5-6 0-0 2-5 4 0 1 3 12 - -
Ish Smith 23 5-8 1-2 0-0 4 8 0 0 11 - -
Thomas Bryant 22 6-10 1-2 3-3 6 1 0 1 16 - -
Rui Hachimura 20 4-9 3-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 11 - -
Tomas Satoransky 13 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 1 4 - -
Deni Avdija 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 4 2 1 0 2 - -
Anthony Gill 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter