Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.3% | 83.7% | +9.0 | ✗ (30.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -21 (110-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 40 | 10-20 | 1-5 | 8-14 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 26 | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - | |
| Trey Lyles * | 30 | 10-14 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 30 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 30 | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 22 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 20 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 18 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Damian Jones | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 32 | 12-16 | 3-3 | 10-14 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 37 | 41 | - | |
| Tre Mann * | 31 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 29 | 4-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 25 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 25 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 19 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter