Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.0% | 76.0% | +6.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +13 (118-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 8-20 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 32 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 29 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 26 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 25 | 9-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Joe Wieskamp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 34 | 22-30 | 4-4 | 4-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 52 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 29 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 24 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 24 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 19 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Killian Tillie | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter