Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +13 (112-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 35 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 33 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 32 | 8-16 | 2-8 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 25 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Javonte Green * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Coby White | 30 | 3-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Tony Bradley | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Matt Thomas | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Malcolm Hill | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabe Vincent * | 32 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 28 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 21 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 30 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Max Strus | 22 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Kyle Guy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter