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2022-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 44.9% 55.1% +1.1 (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.6% 39.4% -
Log Adjusted 60.7% 39.3% -
Points Off/Def 51.8% 48.2% -

Actual: Orlando Magic +16 (119-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Buddy Hield * 34 7-13 3-6 1-1 1 6 0 0 18 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 32 7-13 3-7 6-6 5 7 2 0 23 - -
Oshae Brissett * 31 1-6 1-4 3-4 6 2 0 1 6 - -
Jalen Smith * 25 4-7 3-6 3-4 8 0 0 0 14 - -
Isaiah Jackson * 18 2-4 0-1 2-4 5 0 0 2 6 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 25 4-10 2-5 1-2 0 0 1 0 11 - -
Terry Taylor 22 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 0 7 - -
Goga Bitadze 20 4-5 2-3 1-2 3 2 0 2 11 - -
Chris Duarte 14 3-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Keifer Sykes 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mo Bamba * 30 6-15 1-5 2-2 10 0 1 1 15 - -
Cole Anthony * 28 3-14 1-7 4-5 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Franz Wagner * 27 6-10 1-2 2-2 2 3 2 0 15 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 27 8-10 1-1 4-6 12 1 0 0 21 - -
Jalen Suggs * 27 5-9 2-4 2-4 3 10 2 0 14 - -
Chuma Okeke 24 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 3 1 1 6 - -
Gary Harris 19 3-8 2-6 3-3 0 1 2 0 11 - -
R.J. Hampton 17 5-9 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 12 - -
Markelle Fultz 15 5-7 0-0 0-0 2 6 0 0 10 - -
Terrence Ross 14 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Ignas Brazdeikis 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Admiral Schofield 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter