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2022-02-28

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 33.1% 66.9% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 31.9% 68.1% +4.2 (32.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -
Efficiency 55.0% 45.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.0% 43.0% -
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% -
Points Off/Def 49.7% 50.3% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -28 (95-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 33 8-15 4-7 2-2 5 8 3 0 22 - -
Brandon Ingram * 31 8-18 0-2 3-6 5 8 2 0 19 - -
Herbert Jones * 31 4-12 0-2 3-3 6 3 3 0 11 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 30 5-6 0-0 1-2 9 0 2 1 11 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 27 7-10 1-2 4-7 10 2 2 0 19 - -
Devonte' Graham 21 4-8 2-6 2-3 1 2 1 1 12 - -
Tony Snell 21 3-6 3-5 0-0 6 0 1 0 9 - -
Naji Marshall 18 2-8 0-2 1-2 6 1 0 1 5 - -
Jose Alvarado 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 4 - -
Willy Hernangomez 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Gary Clark 3 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Trey Murphy III 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 35 13-23 1-4 5-5 6 3 2 2 32 - -
Russell Westbrook * 27 5-15 0-2 6-7 6 1 1 0 16 - -
Dwight Howard * 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 1 6 - -
Austin Reaves * 21 1-5 0-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Trevor Ariza * 10 1-3 0-2 1-1 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Carmelo Anthony 29 4-9 1-5 4-4 5 1 0 1 13 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 25 2-7 1-5 0-0 3 5 1 0 5 - -
Malik Monk 24 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 2 1 0 - -
Wayne Ellington 17 3-8 3-8 0-0 2 0 1 0 9 - -
Stanley Johnson 12 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 4 - -
DeAndre Jordan 9 1-1 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Kent Bazemore 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 3 - -

* = starter