Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.8% | 26.2% | -5.7 | ✓ (26.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -32 (92-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 22 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 22 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 22 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 27 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 24 | 6-10 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 24 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 20 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 17 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hart * | 31 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 29 | 5-18 | 1-9 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| CJ Elleby * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 24 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 19 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Elijah Hughes | 9 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Keljin Blevins | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter