Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -6 (101-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 10-21 | 3-9 | 11-12 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 34 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 36 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 33 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 31 | 10-14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 21 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 38 | 11-25 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Gary Payton II * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 19 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter