Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 77.7% | 22.3% | -6.9 | ✗ (27.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers +21 (128-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 35 | 10-16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 34 | 7-22 | 2-12 | 8-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams * | 33 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 22 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 17 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kelan Martin | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Malik Fitts | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 38 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 34 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett * | 33 | 9-14 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 29 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 26 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 25 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duane Washington Jr. | 11 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keifer Sykes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter