Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Kings | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +5 (115-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox * | 39 | 10-19 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 37 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 33 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 26 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 29 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 11 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 6-16 | 0-5 | 6-8 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 31 | 8-13 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 29 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 25 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 16 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 13 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter