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2022-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 45.0% 55.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% -
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +2.0 (25.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.5% 50.5% -
Log Adjusted 49.4% 50.6% -
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +27 (127-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 36 6-16 0-1 2-4 10 5 0 0 14 13 -
Fred VanVleet * 34 8-22 5-14 3-3 3 9 1 0 24 15 -
Gary Trent Jr. * 30 3-10 1-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 9 4 -
Scottie Barnes * 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 6 6 -
Khem Birch * 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -
Precious Achiuwa 30 8-12 2-3 3-3 9 2 1 0 21 21 -
Chris Boucher 22 1-2 0-1 1-2 5 0 0 0 3 6 -
Thaddeus Young 22 4-8 1-1 1-3 2 3 2 0 10 9 -
Malachi Flynn 19 2-10 0-5 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 -3 -
Justin Champagnie 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Yuta Watanabe 2 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 1 5 6 -
Dalano Banton 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 -
Svi Mykhailiuk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 37 4-11 2-4 4-6 4 4 1 0 14 12 -
Trae Young * 37 17-24 1-4 6-6 4 11 1 1 41 34 -
Danilo Gallinari * 30 1-9 1-6 0-0 5 3 1 1 3 4 -
Kevin Huerter * 28 5-9 4-7 0-0 4 3 1 0 14 13 -
Clint Capela * 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 9 0 1 2 8 15 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 29 5-11 2-6 2-2 6 2 2 0 14 13 -
Onyeka Okongwu 27 6-6 0-0 5-6 7 1 1 3 17 23 -
Delon Wright 14 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 6 9 -
Kevin Knox II 5 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Jalen Johnson 2 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
Skylar Mays 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Gorgui Dieng 2 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 5 -

* = starter