Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | -6.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.9% | 14.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (104-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 38 | 8-21 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 35 | 10-24 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 26 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 26 | 8-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory Joseph * | 34 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 30 | 3-15 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 26 | 11-19 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 18 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 10 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter