Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | -1.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +5 (114-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 8-24 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 34 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 26 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 25 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 24 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 18 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 36 | 11-19 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 33 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 32 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 30 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 22 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter