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2022-02-26

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 22.6% 77.4% -
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 22.3% 77.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.9% 75.1% -
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% -
Points Off/Def 28.6% 71.4% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -15 (102-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 34 11-18 2-6 8-11 6 4 1 0 32 - -
Brandon Ingram * 33 9-17 0-2 10-11 5 7 0 0 28 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 32 7-16 0-3 4-6 17 0 1 0 18 - -
Herbert Jones * 31 0-9 0-2 2-2 5 1 3 1 2 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 17 3-5 1-1 2-2 6 1 0 2 9 - -
Devonte' Graham 25 2-6 2-6 5-5 1 2 0 0 11 - -
Tony Snell 25 3-5 3-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 9 - -
Naji Marshall 16 2-6 0-3 1-2 1 2 4 0 5 - -
Jose Alvarado 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Willy Hernangomez 7 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 3 - -
Gary Clark 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Trey Murphy III 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 38 3-7 1-4 1-2 6 6 0 0 8 - -
Devin Booker * 36 10-24 2-8 8-8 3 5 1 2 30 - -
Deandre Ayton * 31 9-12 1-1 1-2 5 1 1 3 20 - -
Jae Crowder * 29 4-6 2-4 2-4 5 3 1 0 12 - -
Cameron Johnson * 28 4-11 3-10 4-4 1 1 1 1 15 - -
Torrey Craig 24 0-6 0-3 2-4 11 2 2 2 2 - -
Landry Shamet 16 3-9 2-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Elfrid Payton 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 - -
JaVale McGee 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Ish Wainright 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Bismack Biyombo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter