Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New York Knicks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✗ (17.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Knicks -15 (100-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 9-9 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 34 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 33 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 31 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 13 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 30 | 9-18 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 23 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Caleb Martin | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
New York Knicks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 37 | 13-22 | 6-11 | 14-22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 46 | - | - | |
| Evan Fournier * | 36 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Julius Randle * | 35 | 2-15 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 34 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mitchell Robinson * | 29 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jericho Sims | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Immanuel Quickley | 17 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Cam Reddish | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Obi Toppin | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Miles McBride | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter