Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.0% | 33.0% | -3.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -4 (153-157). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 46 | 10-20 | 5-9 | 7-7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 42 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 42 | 12-20 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 13 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 41 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 27 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 35 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 16 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tomas Satoransky | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 46 | 13-27 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 36 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 42 | 7-14 | 4-10 | 6-6 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto * | 36 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 28 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija | 37 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 21 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 15 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cassius Winston | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter