Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.8% | 32.2% | -4.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -4 (125-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 38 | 13-24 | 1-5 | 9-12 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 36 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann * | 34 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 33 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 23 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 18 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 18 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 42 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 42 | 12-21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett * | 37 | 5-17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon * | 30 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 22 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith | 28 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Lance Stephenson | 28 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Duane Washington Jr. | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter