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2022-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 58.9% 41.1% -
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% -
Margin 58.3% 41.7% -1.8 (33.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -
Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.6% 43.4% -
Log Adjusted 56.8% 43.2% -
Points Off/Def 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +32 (125-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 31 13-18 0-1 2-2 5 1 2 0 28 - -
Fred VanVleet * 29 3-12 2-7 0-0 1 4 0 2 8 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 28 5-12 2-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 12 - -
Pascal Siakam * 27 3-13 0-1 2-2 3 2 1 0 8 - -
Khem Birch * 18 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 1 1 - -
Precious Achiuwa 23 3-8 0-2 3-7 5 0 2 1 9 - -
Thaddeus Young 21 2-4 0-0 1-3 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Chris Boucher 20 4-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Dalano Banton 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Malachi Flynn 12 2-3 0-1 1-3 2 5 0 0 5 - -
Justin Champagnie 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Svi Mykhailiuk 4 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Yuta Watanabe 4 1-1 1-1 3-4 0 1 0 0 6 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 32 10-16 3-7 0-0 4 9 1 1 23 - -
Miles Bridges * 31 5-11 0-3 1-1 10 7 0 1 11 - -
LaMelo Ball * 29 5-16 2-7 1-1 5 6 1 0 13 - -
Mason Plumlee * 28 4-4 0-0 0-2 10 1 1 1 8 - -
P.J. Washington * 27 5-11 3-9 0-0 5 3 2 2 13 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 32 8-14 5-10 2-2 4 1 2 1 23 - -
Montrezl Harrell 23 9-12 0-0 2-3 10 3 0 0 20 - -
JT Thor 23 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 1 6 - -
Cody Martin 12 3-5 2-3 0-0 0 2 2 0 8 - -

* = starter