Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.6% | 34.4% | -3.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings -18 (110-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 32 | 11-17 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 30 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 24 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 17 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 15 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis * | 37 | 15-23 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 33 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 36 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 33 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Maurice Harkless * | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davion Mitchell | 30 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 22 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Lamb | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Josh Jackson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter