Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.1% | 22.9% | -6.7 | ✓ (30.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -37 (95-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 27 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 28 | - | |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 25 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 24 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - | |
| Gary Payton II * | 19 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 24 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 16 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Nemanja Bjelica | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 28 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| CJ Elleby * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Justise Winslow * | 21 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 19 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 16 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Elijah Hughes | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Keljin Blevins | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter