Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✗ (23.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -20 (104-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 38 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 31 | 10-17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 30 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jae Crowder * | 25 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 24 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 20 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 20 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 18 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 34 | 13-22 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 30 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 25 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 20 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 19 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier Sarr | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter