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2022-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 84.9% 15.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.1% 31.9% - โœ“
Margin 81.3% 18.7% -8.1 โœ“ (14.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.9% 47.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.4% 34.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.5% 34.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“

Actual: Brooklyn Nets -23 (106-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 34 10-20 4-9 6-7 7 4 1 0 30 - -
Al Horford * 31 5-10 1-6 0-0 13 2 2 2 11 - -
Jaylen Brown * 29 6-12 1-5 5-8 1 6 1 1 18 - -
Marcus Smart * 29 5-6 5-6 0-0 3 6 2 0 15 - -
Robert Williams III * 24 4-5 0-0 4-4 11 2 0 0 12 - -
Grant Williams 29 4-8 1-3 1-1 3 0 1 0 10 - -
Derrick White 20 4-9 1-3 4-5 5 3 0 0 13 - -
Payton Pritchard 13 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 6 - -
Aaron Nesmith 5 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 6 - -
Daniel Theis 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Sam Hauser 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Brodric Thomas 4 2-2 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 4 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bruce Brown * 34 5-12 1-3 4-6 7 5 3 0 15 - -
Seth Curry * 31 10-19 2-7 0-0 7 1 1 0 22 - -
James Johnson * 28 2-12 1-5 2-2 3 6 0 1 7 - -
Patty Mills * 27 0-9 0-5 1-3 1 3 0 0 1 - -
Andre Drummond * 19 4-6 0-1 3-4 6 1 1 1 11 - -
Cam Thomas 30 4-13 0-2 2-2 1 3 1 0 10 - -
Kessler Edwards 18 4-4 3-3 2-2 5 2 0 0 13 - -
LaMarcus Aldridge 17 3-7 0-0 3-3 4 2 0 2 9 - -
Nic Claxton 11 4-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 8 - -
David Duke Jr. 8 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Blake Griffin 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Day'Ron Sharpe 5 2-3 0-1 3-4 1 1 0 0 7 - -

* = starter