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2022-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 27.4% 72.6% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 68.1% 31.9% -4.2 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.7% 39.3% -
Efficiency 78.1% 21.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.0% 26.0% -
Log Adjusted 74.1% 25.9% -
Points Off/Def 62.4% 37.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +3 (106-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 35 3-8 0-1 6-8 8 2 0 3 12 - -
Jarrett Allen * 32 5-9 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 3 11 - -
Isaac Okoro * 27 4-6 2-3 1-3 5 0 1 0 11 - -
Lauri Markkanen * 27 6-16 2-7 8-10 6 1 0 1 22 - -
Rajon Rondo * 26 5-8 2-5 0-2 2 9 0 0 12 - -
Brandon Goodwin 24 6-12 2-7 1-1 4 5 1 0 15 - -
Dean Wade 22 2-6 1-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Cedi Osman 19 2-7 2-4 3-4 1 2 0 0 9 - -
Kevin Love 16 1-5 1-4 1-2 5 1 0 0 4 - -
Lamar Stevens 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerami Grant * 31 4-15 2-7 6-8 3 1 2 1 16 - -
Cade Cunningham * 31 4-16 0-4 9-10 6 6 0 2 17 - -
Saddiq Bey * 23 1-7 1-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 - -
Cory Joseph * 23 2-7 0-1 2-2 6 3 0 1 6 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 19 4-6 1-1 2-2 8 0 0 1 11 - -
Marvin Bagley III 27 8-13 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 16 - -
Killian Hayes 24 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 5 2 1 2 - -
Hamidou Diallo 21 7-11 3-3 4-4 6 1 2 0 21 - -
Kelly Olynyk 20 0-3 0-3 2-2 4 4 1 0 2 - -
Rodney McGruder 16 4-4 4-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 12 - -

* = starter