Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.8% | 36.2% | -3.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -7 (118-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 38 | 17-35 | 7-14 | 8-12 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 49 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 37 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 37 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Green * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 30 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 25 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 17 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 39 | 14-26 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Brandon Ingram * | 35 | 6-21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tony Snell | 28 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 25 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gary Clark | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter