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2022-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% -
Bradley-Terry 28.5% 71.5% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 27.7% 72.3% -
Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% -
Log Adjusted 9.1% 90.9% -
Points Off/Def 16.7% 83.3% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +3 (124-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Gordon * 38 8-24 3-14 1-2 2 2 0 1 20 - -
Dennis Schroder * 38 7-16 2-7 7-8 6 9 1 1 23 - -
Jalen Green * 35 5-12 3-7 4-5 2 1 0 1 17 - -
Jae'Sean Tate * 28 7-9 0-1 8-8 10 1 0 0 22 - -
Alperen Sengun * 28 7-11 3-4 2-2 14 3 2 1 19 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 23 5-10 0-1 1-1 6 2 0 0 11 - -
Garrison Mathews 20 2-6 2-6 0-0 0 1 1 0 6 - -
David Nwaba 15 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 2 1 0 1 - -
Josh Christopher 11 1-8 0-3 0-0 7 2 0 1 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 43 7-22 1-5 9-9 3 8 3 2 24 - -
Mikal Bridges * 40 6-10 0-3 5-8 7 0 0 0 17 - -
Deandre Ayton * 27 9-15 0-0 5-6 9 0 0 1 23 - -
Jae Crowder * 22 2-6 1-3 3-4 4 2 3 0 8 - -
Chris Paul * 19 3-5 0-2 5-5 0 6 2 0 11 - -
Cameron Johnson 31 5-11 3-6 1-2 5 4 1 0 14 - -
Torrey Craig 23 4-6 1-3 0-1 4 0 0 2 9 - -
Aaron Holiday 20 4-7 1-2 0-0 3 6 1 0 9 - -
JaVale McGee 10 4-4 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 2 9 - -
Elfrid Payton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter