Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.3% | 79.7% | +7.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -8 (106-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 35 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 31 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 21 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 27 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 12 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Giddey * | 33 | 8-18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann * | 31 | 10-20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby * | 28 | 7-19 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski | 29 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 28 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Derrick Favors | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter