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2022-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 27.9% 72.1% -
Bradley-Terry 35.2% 64.8% -
Margin 33.2% 66.8% +3.8 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -
Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% -
Log Adjusted 31.6% 68.4% -
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +7 (125-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 40 14-26 2-5 3-4 6 9 2 0 33 24 -
Justin Holiday * 37 6-12 6-11 0-0 2 1 0 2 18 11 -
Domantas Sabonis * 37 10-15 0-0 2-2 12 8 2 0 22 29 -
Harrison Barnes * 33 4-7 2-3 7-8 4 1 1 0 17 16 -
Maurice Harkless * 30 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 3 0 4 4 -
Donte DiVincenzo 28 2-8 1-5 4-4 3 5 1 0 9 10 -
Chimezie Metu 16 3-6 1-4 4-4 3 0 0 1 11 9 -
Richaun Holmes 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Trey Lyles 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 4 -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 40 4-11 0-2 4-4 6 6 2 1 12 16 -
DeMar DeRozan * 40 16-27 1-1 5-5 6 6 1 0 38 24 -
Coby White * 39 11-19 6-11 3-4 5 6 1 0 31 24 -
Nikola Vucevic * 38 8-18 1-6 4-4 10 3 2 0 21 18 -
Javonte Green * 28 6-7 3-4 0-0 6 0 0 1 15 15 -
Troy Brown Jr. 16 0-5 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 3 -
Derrick Jones Jr. 16 2-4 1-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 6 -
Matt Thomas 10 0-3 0-2 3-3 1 1 1 0 3 3 -
Tony Bradley 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 -

* = starter