Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.4% | 72.6% | +5.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +9 (128-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddy Hield * | 37 | 14-20 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett * | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 17 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor | 32 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Keifer Sykes | 27 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Lance Stephenson | 19 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Duane Washington Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 36 | 17-21 | 2-3 | 14-18 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50 | - | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 28 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Lindell Wigginton | 28 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 26 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 24 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter