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2022-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 57.8% 42.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 60.3% 39.7% - ✓
Margin 73.4% 26.6% -5.6 ✓ (42.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% - ✓
Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 61.4% 38.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 52.4% 47.6% - ✓

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -48 (87-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 29 9-17 4-8 6-6 12 6 0 2 28 - -
Jaylen Brown * 29 10-17 5-7 4-6 8 3 0 0 29 - -
Grant Williams * 25 4-5 4-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Al Horford * 19 2-6 2-5 0-0 9 2 0 0 6 - -
Marcus Smart * 12 2-3 1-2 2-4 0 1 0 0 7 - -
Derrick White 27 4-9 0-3 3-3 1 2 1 1 11 - -
Aaron Nesmith 23 6-9 3-5 3-3 3 0 0 2 18 - -
Daniel Theis 19 2-2 1-1 0-0 9 2 0 4 5 - -
Payton Pritchard 19 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 7 0 0 5 - -
Sam Hauser 12 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 9 - -
Brodric Thomas 12 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 5 - -
Luke Kornet 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 30 3-11 1-4 4-4 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Tobias Harris * 27 2-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 6 - -
Joel Embiid * 26 3-9 0-1 13-16 9 6 0 1 19 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 23 0-6 0-6 1-2 1 2 0 1 1 - -
Danny Green * 19 1-5 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Shake Milton 27 2-10 0-2 4-4 4 4 1 0 8 - -
Georges Niang 22 2-6 1-4 4-4 4 0 0 0 9 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 17 2-7 2-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 - -
Paul Reed 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 0 3 - -
Paul Millsap 8 3-6 2-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Isaiah Joe 8 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Charles Bassey 7 2-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Charlie Brown Jr. 5 1-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 4 - -

* = starter