Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✓ (33.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +34 (135-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Gordon * | 29 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 29 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 2-6 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 27 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 27 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 21 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 26 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 25 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 16 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 31 | 9-15 | 5-9 | 7-8 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 27 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 23 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 21 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 25 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Hassan Whiteside | 17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Danuel House Jr. | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Eric Paschall | 14 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Udoka Azubuike | 8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jared Butler | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter