Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (121-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 34 | 12-22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jalen Suggs * | 34 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 32 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 36 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 31 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 10-26 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland * | 28 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 26 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 20 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 16 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 12 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter