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2022-02-15

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 65.9% 34.1% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.1% 51.9% -
Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Log Adjusted 48.5% 51.5% -
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +11 (120-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 35 7-16 0-1 5-7 6 11 2 0 19 - -
Keldon Johnson * 31 4-12 0-2 5-5 3 2 1 0 13 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 30 6-9 0-0 1-2 9 4 0 0 13 - -
Doug McDermott * 29 7-11 3-5 2-2 4 1 0 0 19 - -
Devin Vassell * 24 2-10 0-4 1-1 0 1 1 1 5 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 25 9-17 2-4 1-4 5 2 1 0 21 - -
Joshua Primo 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 - -
Zach Collins 17 4-6 1-3 0-0 2 2 1 1 9 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 12 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 8 - -
Tre Jones 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 37 5-9 1-4 1-2 3 4 1 1 12 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 36 12-24 1-7 0-0 16 5 0 1 25 - -
Coby White * 34 6-11 5-6 7-8 5 6 0 0 24 - -
Javonte Green * 34 2-6 1-2 2-2 9 1 1 0 7 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 16-24 0-0 8-8 3 7 0 0 40 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 30 3-5 2-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 8 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 22 2-7 0-1 0-1 7 1 0 0 4 - -
Matt Thomas 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tony Bradley 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter