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2022-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 86.0% 14.0% -
Bradley-Terry 56.7% 43.3% -
Margin 65.0% 35.0% -3.4 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 31.9% 68.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 34.9% 65.1% -
Log Adjusted 34.8% 65.2% -
Points Off/Def 35.4% 64.6% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +9 (103-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 38 7-17 4-10 6-7 5 5 0 0 24 - -
Cory Joseph * 35 3-6 2-2 1-1 4 3 2 0 9 - -
Jerami Grant * 32 4-10 2-3 4-4 1 0 1 1 14 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 27 4-8 0-0 3-3 9 0 0 0 11 - -
Cade Cunningham * 27 5-16 0-5 2-2 4 4 1 0 12 - -
Hamidou Diallo 21 3-7 0-0 4-4 6 1 1 1 10 - -
Marvin Bagley III 20 4-10 0-0 2-6 8 1 0 0 10 - -
Kelly Olynyk 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 0 - -
Killian Hayes 12 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Rodney McGruder 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 37 10-18 1-4 2-3 7 2 0 1 23 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 35 6-15 4-6 0-0 2 3 0 1 16 - -
Corey Kispert * 33 4-9 2-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 10 - -
Raul Neto * 27 5-11 0-4 1-2 4 3 4 0 11 - -
Thomas Bryant * 20 3-7 0-1 5-5 4 2 0 0 11 - -
Deni Avdija 30 4-9 1-3 3-4 15 3 1 0 12 - -
Anthony Gill 25 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 6 - -
Ish Smith 20 4-8 0-1 0-0 2 6 1 0 8 - -
Rui Hachimura 9 1-4 1-3 3-4 1 0 1 0 6 - -

* = starter