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2022-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 22.2% 77.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.5% 73.5% -
Margin 15.0% 85.0% +9.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -
Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% -
Log Adjusted 29.2% 70.8% -
Points Off/Def 32.4% 67.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +10 (105-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Andre Hunter * 37 4-16 2-7 0-0 6 3 2 0 10 5 -
Trae Young * 36 9-26 4-12 8-8 4 10 2 0 30 20 -
Clint Capela * 31 3-4 0-0 2-2 17 0 0 1 8 22 -
Kevin Huerter * 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 7 4 -
Danilo Gallinari * 22 2-8 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 -3 -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 37 9-20 3-10 5-5 6 2 1 0 26 15 -
Onyeka Okongwu 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 6 -
Delon Wright 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 5 -
Lou Williams 14 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 3 -
Sharife Cooper 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 40 13-27 4-10 8-9 10 3 1 2 38 27 -
Jaylen Brown * 37 6-16 2-6 3-4 9 3 0 0 17 13 -
Robert Williams III * 36 5-6 0-0 0-1 14 1 0 2 10 21 -
Marcus Smart * 35 3-11 0-5 7-9 6 7 1 0 13 16 -
Al Horford * 23 3-3 2-2 0-0 6 0 0 1 8 12 -
Derrick White 29 4-14 2-10 4-4 4 5 2 1 14 12 -
Grant Williams 26 2-5 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 5 6 -
Payton Pritchard 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter