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2022-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 17.5% 82.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +2 (117-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 38 9-27 3-10 5-9 15 8 0 0 26 - -
Russell Westbrook * 35 7-13 1-2 4-4 7 5 1 0 19 - -
Anthony Davis * 35 5-13 0-1 6-10 7 4 0 3 16 - -
Avery Bradley * 25 3-6 2-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 8 - -
Stanley Johnson * 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 29 5-9 3-5 4-4 7 3 1 1 17 - -
Austin Reaves 23 5-5 1-1 2-2 3 2 0 2 13 - -
Malik Monk 20 5-9 1-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 12 - -
Trevor Ariza 16 0-2 0-1 0-2 4 0 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 36 7-17 1-8 9-9 5 8 1 0 24 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 32 7-15 3-7 2-5 4 1 1 1 19 - -
Klay Thompson * 30 12-22 5-9 4-5 5 0 0 0 33 - -
Kevon Looney * 28 1-6 0-0 1-2 12 3 0 0 3 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 25 8-11 0-1 2-3 9 0 0 1 18 - -
Jordan Poole 24 2-8 1-5 6-6 1 4 0 0 11 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 23 1-5 0-2 0-0 7 2 1 0 2 - -
Damion Lee 15 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 2 1 1 6 - -
Gary Payton II 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 11 0-0 0-0 1-4 2 3 0 0 1 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter