Model Predictions
| Model | Brooklyn Nets | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.4% | 76.6% | +6.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (115-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 41 | 10-22 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Patty Mills * | 34 | 3-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards * | 29 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin * | 20 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cam Thomas | 32 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Day'Ron Sharpe | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 15 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| David Duke Jr. | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bam Adebayo * | 37 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 34 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| P.J. Tucker * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 24 | 6-10 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 24 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tyler Herro | 23 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 19 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - |
* = starter