Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -1 (109-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 30 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 28 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland * | 24 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 23 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 19 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 19 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 42 | 16-22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 37 | 7-14 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 37 | 4-16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter