Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +6 (108-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 9-20 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 23 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 33 | 8-15 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland * | 17 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 29 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 13 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 39 | 4-17 | 0-6 | 4-7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 39 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III * | 37 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 36 | 8-19 | 1-8 | 7-8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 28 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 10 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter