Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -15 (121-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 32 | 8-13 | 6-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 31 | 11-18 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 10 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 28 | 9-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott * | 25 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 28 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Joe Wieskamp | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Devontae Cacok | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 34 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 31 | 6-17 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 21 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 29 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 22 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 4 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter