Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.6 | ✗ (26.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -22 (119-141). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 37 | 10-16 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 36 | 9-18 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 32 | 10-14 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-10 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington | 29 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Montrezl Harrell | 22 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| James Bouknight | 19 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kai Jones | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 35 | 8-16 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 27 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cade Cunningham * | 21 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 27 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 26 | 8-14 | 0-2 | 0-6 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 16 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 8 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Saben Lee | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter