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2022-02-11

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Dallas Mavericks Spread Result
Elo 61.9% 38.1% -
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -
Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% -
Log Adjusted 29.5% 70.5% -
Points Off/Def 32.2% 67.8% -

Actual: Dallas Mavericks +7 (112-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 33 5-14 1-3 8-10 6 6 1 0 19 - -
Reggie Jackson * 33 7-14 0-2 4-5 4 8 0 1 18 - -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 31 9-16 3-6 0-0 0 0 2 0 21 - -
Nicolas Batum * 27 4-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 1 10 - -
Ivica Zubac * 25 3-4 0-0 2-5 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Terance Mann 30 5-10 1-1 2-3 5 3 2 0 13 - -
Luke Kennard 28 3-5 2-4 0-0 4 4 1 0 8 - -
Amir Coffey 13 0-5 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Robert Covington 10 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 5 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dorian Finney-Smith * 40 5-10 2-6 0-0 7 1 3 0 12 - -
Luka Doncic * 39 17-26 7-14 10-14 9 6 1 1 51 - -
Jalen Brunson * 37 3-12 0-3 5-5 5 4 0 0 11 - -
Reggie Bullock * 36 3-7 2-6 3-3 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Dwight Powell * 21 2-2 0-0 4-4 2 2 0 2 8 - -
Maxi Kleber 26 3-6 1-4 1-1 9 2 0 0 8 - -
Josh Green 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Trey Burke 10 1-6 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -
Frank Ntilikina 7 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 5 - -
Marquese Chriss 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter