Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✗ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -19 (120-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 37 | 15-26 | 6-13 | 6-7 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 42 | - | - | |
| OG Anunoby * | 35 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 13-19 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 21 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 20 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Svi Mykhailiuk | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 40 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 35 | 11-16 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 32 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 31 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 6-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 22 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 14 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| David Nwaba | 7 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter