Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.3% | 37.7% | -2.8 | ✓ (22.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -25 (107-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 30 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 7-9 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 28 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 23 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams * | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 26 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 22 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 16 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 35 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 31 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 17 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 28 | 3-13 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 20 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - |
* = starter