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2022-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 20.2% 79.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.1% 50.9% -
Margin 54.1% 45.9% -0.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% -
Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% -
Log Adjusted 66.1% 33.9% -
Points Off/Def 56.1% 43.9% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +2 (107-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 40 8-11 0-1 1-4 7 6 1 5 17 - -
LeBron James * 36 13-22 3-7 1-1 7 7 3 0 30 - -
Avery Bradley * 35 2-6 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 1 6 - -
Malik Monk * 29 3-8 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 7 - -
Trevor Ariza * 19 2-4 2-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Stanley Johnson 25 3-5 1-2 4-6 6 1 1 1 11 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 23 5-8 4-6 0-0 3 7 1 0 14 - -
Wayne Ellington 15 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 9 - -
Austin Reaves 13 2-4 1-2 0-2 1 2 0 0 5 - -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ Elleby * 43 4-11 0-1 0-0 8 4 1 1 8 - -
Anfernee Simons * 38 11-23 5-11 2-2 0 5 0 0 29 - -
Justise Winslow * 33 5-11 0-4 1-2 8 3 4 0 11 - -
Jusuf Nurkic * 33 8-11 0-0 3-5 12 3 0 0 19 - -
Ben McLemore * 27 3-13 2-11 0-0 2 0 3 1 8 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 22 3-5 0-0 1-1 2 11 6 0 7 - -
Trendon Watford 15 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 6 - -
Greg Brown III 15 3-5 1-1 4-4 2 0 0 1 11 - -
Keljin Blevins 10 3-7 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 - -

* = starter