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2022-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 56.3% 43.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 58.9% 41.1% - ✓
Margin 56.0% 44.0% -1.3 ✓ (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.7% 52.3% - ✗
Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 49.5% 50.5% - ✗
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% - ✗

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -12 (109-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 40 8-18 5-10 6-7 7 5 0 0 27 - -
Coby White * 38 6-14 3-10 0-0 3 3 0 1 15 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 13-19 3-4 7-10 5 4 0 0 36 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 37 9-13 0-0 0-0 15 8 0 3 18 - -
Javonte Green * 33 3-5 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 6 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 27 3-6 2-3 0-0 4 4 2 0 8 - -
Tony Bradley 10 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Malcolm Hill 9 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 1 6 - -
Matt Thomas 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 38 6-18 2-11 2-2 4 6 0 0 16 - -
Miles Bridges * 38 7-16 2-8 6-6 5 5 1 0 22 - -
LaMelo Ball * 37 12-25 5-10 4-6 9 5 4 0 33 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 36 8-19 3-9 0-1 4 0 0 1 19 - -
Mason Plumlee * 26 1-2 0-0 1-4 11 4 1 0 3 - -
P.J. Washington 34 2-7 1-5 0-0 8 2 1 0 5 - -
Ish Smith 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 - -
Nick Richards 12 3-3 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 9 - -

* = starter