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2022-02-09

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 20.0% 80.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.4% 62.6% - โœ“
Margin 36.9% 63.1% +3.0 โœ“ (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 40.4% 59.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 43.2% 56.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.2% 56.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“

Actual: Denver Nuggets +17 (132-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 34 7-19 4-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 18 - -
Julius Randle * 34 11-22 3-8 3-4 10 6 3 0 28 - -
Evan Fournier * 31 8-16 4-10 1-1 7 2 3 1 21 - -
Taj Gibson * 26 5-6 2-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 12 - -
Kemba Walker * 22 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 8 0 0 2 - -
Alec Burks 25 6-10 1-4 1-1 4 2 0 1 14 - -
Jericho Sims 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 - -
Immanuel Quickley 18 2-9 0-5 1-1 3 3 0 0 5 - -
Cam Reddish 14 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Obi Toppin 13 4-8 1-2 2-3 3 1 1 0 11 - -
Miles McBride 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Barton * 37 8-12 4-6 0-0 7 5 1 0 20 - -
Aaron Gordon * 31 8-12 3-5 0-0 8 4 0 1 19 - -
Nikola Jokic * 30 8-14 0-3 5-7 11 7 0 0 21 - -
Monte Morris * 27 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 6 0 0 5 - -
Jeff Green * 18 1-3 0-1 4-5 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Bones Hyland 25 6-12 4-7 6-7 6 3 0 0 22 - -
Zeke Nnaji 23 5-9 0-4 1-3 7 0 2 0 11 - -
JaMychal Green 17 6-7 2-2 6-7 4 2 2 0 20 - -
Bryn Forbes 15 2-6 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Davon Reed 10 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Markus Howard 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Facundo Campazzo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter