Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.9 | ✓ (25.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +30 (116-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saddiq Bey * | 31 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 30 | 5-16 | 1-6 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo * | 26 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 24 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 18 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 17 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 32 | 9-18 | 5-9 | 10-14 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 29 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 28 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 25 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 21 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 15 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Moses Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter