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2022-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% - โœ“
Margin 34.9% 65.1% +3.4 โœ“ (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.8% 68.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.3% 67.7% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +21 (133-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lance Stephenson * 34 7-15 0-2 10-12 9 8 0 0 24 - -
Chris Duarte * 34 8-16 2-6 7-7 2 4 1 1 25 - -
Keifer Sykes * 31 4-12 2-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 10 - -
Goga Bitadze * 30 6-11 2-4 0-1 2 2 2 3 14 - -
Torrey Craig * 28 3-9 0-3 1-1 8 1 2 0 7 - -
Oshae Brissett 29 3-7 1-2 8-10 6 2 2 0 15 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 28 3-14 2-8 2-2 6 2 3 0 10 - -
Terry Taylor 23 3-9 1-1 0-0 10 1 0 0 7 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Huerter * 31 5-9 2-5 0-0 4 4 0 1 12 - -
Trae Young * 29 13-20 6-9 2-2 1 11 0 1 34 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 24 2-7 1-3 3-4 3 4 0 0 8 - -
Clint Capela * 21 3-4 0-0 0-2 12 3 3 0 6 - -
John Collins * 20 9-14 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 20 - -
Delon Wright 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 1 4 - -
Danilo Gallinari 23 2-2 0-0 5-6 5 3 2 1 9 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic 20 5-11 3-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 16 6-6 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 14 - -
Gorgui Dieng 7 3-4 2-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Kevin Knox II 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 6 1-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 1 3 - -
Skylar Mays 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter