Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | +3.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (103-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 37 | 6-19 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 34 | 10-20 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 33 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 32 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 23 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 41 | 3-12 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 38 | 8-14 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 30 | 9-14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 27 | 6-17 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 23 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 15 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter